Growth and Trend in Area, Production, and Yield of Wheat Crops in Uttar Pradesh: A Johansen Co-integration Approach
Amir Khan
Department of Agricultural Economics and Business Management, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh 202002, India.
Saghir Ahmad Ansari
Department of Agricultural Economics and Business Management, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh 202002, India.
Shoaib Ansari
*
Department of Agricultural Economics and Business Management, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh 202002, India.
Alfishan Rehmat
Department of Agricultural Economics and Business Management, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh 202002, India.
Mohd Fateh
Department of Agricultural Economics and Business Management, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh 202002, India.
Mohd Shadab Khan
Department of Agricultural Economics and Business Management, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh 202002, India.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
This study investigated wheat crop area, production, and yield in Uttar Pradesh. Wheat crop data from 1990-91 to 2019-20 were obtained. Compound growth rate and trend analysis show that wheat crop area has reduced due to shift of rabi crops. The growth in Uttar Pradesh's per-hectare yield boosted wheat production from 1990-91 to 2019-20. The methods were calculated indicate use of semi log trend function and Johansen cointegration results, which reveal that number of irrigations affects wheat production. The study founds that cropping intensity, fertilizer, and transportation positively affected wheat production.
Keywords: Fertilizer, growth, semi-log model, trend, wheat, Uttar Pradesh